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Saturday, February 19, 2011

Registrar General Annual Report 2009

The Register Generals Annual Report for 2009 was published on 30 November 20009. It provides a wealth of information relating to the demographic make up of Northern Ireland

Information provided includes births in 2009, deaths in 2009 and as well as information on marriages, divorces and civil partnerships.

Although the report does not determine the community background of those born and deceased in 2009, appendix 2 provides details of the breakdown of births and deaths by District Council. Looking at the 2001 census, we see that Northern Ireland's 26 District Councils can be divided into three groups: majority Catholic/Nationalist, majority Protestant/Unionist and those that are evenly balanced (i.e. no community has a greater representation than 55%). Combining these two sets of figures produces the table below. As the figures used for births and deaths are related to 2009 and the figures for religous breakdown in district councils are related to 2001 the results are likely to be slightly distorted but no significantly so.





The average bith rate of the Catholic majoity areas in 2009 is 14.3 (per 1,000 population) which is 13.5% higher than the Protestant birth rate of 12.6. The average birth rate in Northern Ireland as a whole was 13.9

The average death rate in Protestant dominated district councils in 2009 was 8.1 (per 1,000 population) compared to 7.2 in Catholic majority district councils which is a greater figure by 11.1%. The average death rate in Northern Ireland as a whole was 8.1

A higher Nationalist birth rate and a higher Unionist death rate is not encouraging for those that oppose a United Ireland. The problem is compounded due to the fact that the numbers of Nationalists in the 'child-bearing cohort' (those aged between 20 and 39) is higher than the Nationalist population as a whole and the fact that Protestants account for approx two thirds of deaths each year.


These trends are consistent over the last number of years. The 2011 census will show the effects of these trends.

[graph]

11 comments:

  1. Your blog is coming along well keep up the good work.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hello Enda,

    Good to see the stats but I must alert you to some changes since 2001 in the Protestant majority areas. Lisburn was over 40percent Catholic in 2001. Howver since then the colin area has doubled in size from 15000 to 30000 people with a large amount being young families. N/Abbey ward is increased by the Mayfield/Blackrock estates which again are 90 percentplus Catholic which will increase the Catholic share in the 2011 census.

    Antrim was already 50percent Catholic in the younger ages and this has likely increased with the new builds in Glenavy, Antrim Town, Crumlin and Stoneyford. Banbridge was over 40percent Catholic in the 2001 census. All and all more positive than these stats show but we will soon see with the results of the 2011 census.

    Regards,
    John.

    ReplyDelete
  3. http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/uup-election-pact-with-the-tories-is-dead-says-tom-elliott-15109212.html

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  4. www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/politics/unionists-consider-pact-to-stop-sinn-feinrsquos-martin-mcguinness-becoming-northern-irelands-next-first-minister-15120259.html

    ReplyDelete
  5. In 2006 Denis O'Brien donated almost £500,000 to the SDLP.

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  6. http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/business/opinion/talking-shop-allireland-economy-childs-play-to-sdlp-13410154.html

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  7. http://www.independent.ie/national-news/obrien-funds-to-aid-sdlps-new-ny-offices-91611.html

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  8. The 14 new SF front bench spokespersons include Mary Lou McDonald (Public Expenditure and Reform), Aengus Ó Snodaigh (Social Protection and Party Whip), Pearse Doherty (Finance), Caoimhghín Ó Caoláin (Health and Children), Pádraig MacLochlainn (Foreign Affairs and Trade), Peadar Tóibín (Enterprise, Jobs, Innovation and An Gaeltacht), Jonathan O’Brien (Justice, Equality and Defence), Martin Ferris (Communications, Energy and Natural Resources), Seán Crowe (Education and Skills), Brian Stanley (Environment, Community and Local Government), Michael Colreavy (Agriculture, Food and Marine), Dessie Ellis (Transport and Housing) and Sandra McLellan (Arts, Heritage, Tourism and Sport).

    ReplyDelete
  9. "Denis"

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    ReplyDelete
  10. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/northernireland/8404401/New-tax-deal-for-Ulster-could-break-the-Union.html

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  11. Have you gone and died too.
    MPG .....

    ReplyDelete