Monday, May 2, 2011

8 of the best

Out of the 18 electoral constituencies in Northern Ireland the results of 8 of these will be of keen interest when Thursdays Assembly election votes are counted. The ones to watch are the constituencies where the last seat could go to any of the political affiliations. Some of the candidates that will battle it out for the final seat include:

1.East Antrim
Justin McCamphill (SDLP), Gerardine Mulvenna (Alliance), Oliver McMullan (SF), Gordon Lyons (DUP), Rodney McCune (UUP)

Joe Boyle (SDLP), Mike Nesbitt (UUP)

3.South Down
Eamonn O'Neill (SDLP), John McAllister (UUP)

4.Upper Bann
Johnny McGibbon (SF), Delores Kelly (SDLP), Harry Hamilton (Alliance), Colin McClusker (UUP)

5.North Down
Stephen Agnew (Green Party), Anne Wilson (Alliance), Colin Breen (UUP), Gordon Dunne (DUP)

6.Lagan Valley
Pat Catney (SDLP), Brenda Hale (DUP)

7.North Antrim
Declan O'Loan (SDLP), David McIlveen (DUP), Bill Kennedy (DUP), Robin Swann (DUP), Evelyne Robinson (DUP)

8. South Antrim
Thomas Burns (SDLP), Pam Lewis (DUP), Adrian Cochrane Wilson (UUP)

Sunday, May 1, 2011

Assembly 2011 predictions

The assembly 2011 website provides predictions of the Assembly election on May 5. The website invites people to make predictions on all 108 assembly seats. The site then accumulates these predictions to give the final result.

On April 22 the site tweeted: "With nearly 10,000 predictions already in, below is the breakdown of the composition of the next Assembly as predicted by the ‘assembly2011’ community".

The results can be seen here. If accurate the predictions show 51 assembly seats going to Unionists (-4) 48 going to Nationalists (+4), and 9 to Others (-). The preditions also show that Nationlists will gain seats from Unionists in East Antrim, Strangford, South Down and Upper Bann and gain Independent Kieran Deeney's seat in West Tyrone. Unionists will gain a seat from Nationalists in Lagan Valley and loose a seat to Alliance in North Down. If these resulsts prove accurate Unionisms lead of Nationalism will have been cut from 11 to 3 in just 4 years!